Buying Propensity Model
A product propensity model predicts the likelihood that a customer, existing or new, will adopt or purchase a specific product in the near future. Predicting which product, a customer is likely to take next.
This model leverages customer demographics, product holdings, behavioural data, and historical campaign interactions. The target variable (target) is binary:
1 indicates conversion/engagement.
0 indicates no conversion.
The Product Propensity Model aims to predict the likelihood of an existing or prospective customer purchasing or adopting a specific banking or financial product (for example, credit card, personal loan, savings account upgrade, insurance). This helps prioritize offers, personalize campaigns, and optimize sales channel efficiency.
Example: If a bank wants to offer the perfect product to each customer, using a propensity model, it can predict who is most likely to respond, ensuring every campaign reaches the right person. This not only boosts conversions but also creates a personalized experience for every customer.
Features
- Customer Profile (Demographics and Static Attributes)
- Demographics and profile attributes often influence product adoption behaviour. For example, younger customers may prefer digital products, while older customers may prefer traditional loans. Geography and device can also affect accessibility and channel effectiveness.
- Product Ownership / Portfolio
- Existing product portfolio is highly predictive of future product adoption. Cross-sell/up-sell opportunities depend on what the customer already holds or has closed in the past (for example, customers with savings accounts are more likely to adopt credit cards).
- Engagement and Campaign Exposure
- Measures historical exposure and responsiveness to marketing campaigns. Customers with higher campaign exposure and recent interactions are more likely to show interest in new offers.
- Channel Engagement and Response Behaviour
- Captures channel-level effectiveness and customer preferences. For example, customers with high WhatsApp accept rate are strong candidates for future WhatsApp-driven offers. Balancing open and accept rates helps identify not just engagement but also intent.